Cannabis Sales Slip in May After Accelerated Growth During the Pandemic

With tougher comparisons to a year ago in most cases, growth was generally weak across the markets covered by BDSA in May. Recall that a year ago, cannabis demand surged. In almost all of the markets covered, sales slipped sequentially from April despite one extra day (which wasn’t 4/20!), with growth from a year ago slowing as well. In this review, we will look at the markets one-by-one, beginning with the more mature Western markets and then concluding with the newer Eastern markets.

Western Markets

BDSA provides coverage for Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada and Oregon. In April, growth ranged from 2.5% in Oregon to 49.9% in Nevada compared to a year ago.

Arizona

Arizona transitioned to adult-use in late January, but this is the second month that BDSA included adult-use sales. Total cannabis sales grew 32% to $122.9 million, with adult-use representing $53.9 million. Medical cannabis sales fell 26% to $69 million. Sequentially, overall growth fell 1.6%, with medical falling 4% and adult-use increasing 2%. Growth was strong across all categories, but the highest growth by far was in pre-rolls, which gained 157%.

California

Annual sales grew 20.6% to $349.6 million, down 2% from the record level in April. Growth in most categories was 16-19%, with pre-rolls growing 57.8% from a year ago, reaching almost 13% of overall sales.

Colorado

The mature market of Colorado, which has shown vigorous growth over the past year, hit a wall, with sales of $201.1 million growing only 3.8% from a year ago as they declined 0.8% from April levels. Flower declined 9%, while pre-rolls grew 32%. Ingestibles grew 32%, while concentrates expanded by 13%.

Nevada

Facing a relatively easy comparison, sales in Nevada grew 49.9% to $87.4 million, slipping 0.5% from April. Next month should be better given that Las Vegas fully reopened in June. As in other states, pre-rolls led growth at 83%.

Oregon

Oregon, another mature market that had explosive growth following the pandemic, hit a wall in May too, with sales growing just 2.5% to $105.6 million, down 4.4% from April. Pre-rolls were a standout, growing 27%, while ingestibles and flower decreased 4%.

Eastern Markets

In the newer markets, the annual rate of growth declined in all markets. Note that we wrote about May data for Illinois based on the state’s data a month ago. BDSA provides more comprehensive data than the state, breaking sales down by product types. The state hasn’t yet released the data for June, but it should do so this week. Note that BDSA has begun providing data for Florida and Michigan as of January. Florida sales declined sequentially, as did sales in Michigan, which we previously detailed.

Illinois

The only state to experience sequential growth across those tracked by BDSA was Illinois, which saw annual sales increase by 97.1% to $150.6 million, up 0.3% sequentially. Like other states, pre-rolls led the way, increasing 221%. Flower grew 144%, while concentrates gained 62% and ingestibles 56%.

Maryland

Sales declined for the second consecutive month, falling 1.9% to $46.9 million. This represented annual growth of 21.5%, about half the growth compared to the prior two months. Ingestibles grew 37%. Pre-rolls were one of the slowest categories in this state, growing just 20% and representing only 7% of overall sales.

Massachusetts

While the comparison was tougher than in April, May sales were depressed a year ago in Massachusetts due to adult-use closures for most of the month. Compared to a year ago, sales in the state expanded by 257.1% to $122.5 million, a decline of 4.9% from April. Pre-rolls grew 399%, with ingestibles growing 287%. Flower and concentrates experienced growth just below the overall growth rate.

For readers interested in a deeper look at cannabis markets across these eight states and more, including segmentation by additional product categories, brand and item detail, longer history, and segmentation by product attributes, learn how BDSA Solutions can provide you with unlimited access to the most accurate and actionable data and analysis.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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