Canadian Cannabis Sales Declined 2% in January Sequentially

Statistics Canada released January retail sales for the country this morning, with cannabis sales decreasing from December by 2.1% to C$347.2 million. December was revised substantially lower from the previously reported C$382.4 million. The sales were up 24.2% from a year ago, up from the 19.3% December growth rate, an all-time low:

Hifyre IQ had forecast sales of C$354 million based upon its data. The data analytics provider has been estimating February sales to be 7.3% lower, which would be 6.7% below the actual January level and up 24% from a year ago.

An increase in the number of stores as well as falling flower prices that bring consumers from the illicit market have been boosting sales. In Ontario, the largest province in population, sales were up 8% from December and 57% from a year ago, reflecting the increase in the number of stores. Alberta, which is the second-largest province, was down 7% from December and up 5% from a year ago. Quebec was down 14% from December and 2% from a year ago, while British Columbia was down 5% from December as it advanced 24% from a year ago.

Hifyre IQ estimated that product categories have seen a shift towards flower products, which it estimates at 29.5% in January compared to a record 30.0% in December, when edibles got a bump due most likely to the holidays. In February, Hifyre estimates that non-flower products decreased to 29.2%, with a reduction in vape driving the change.

The February sales data will be released on April 22nd.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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