Canadian Cannabis Sales Slip In September

Statistics Canada released September retail sales for the country, with cannabis sales slipping from the very strong August levels, down 4.9% to C$444.0 million. August was revised  higher to C$467.0 million. The sales, which fell 1.8% on a per-day basis, were up 13.2% from a year ago, down from the 19.7% August growth rate. In 2022, total sales increased 17.9% to C$4.52 billion, and they have increased 13.8% during the first nine months of 2023.

An increase in the number of stores as well as falling flower prices that bring consumers from the illicit market have been boosting sales. In Ontario, the largest province in population, sales were down 6.9% from August and up 13% from a year ago. Alberta, which is the second-largest province, was down 2.7% from August and up 11% from a year ago. Quebec was down 4.6% from August and up 7% from a year ago, while British Columbia was down  2.7% from August as it advanced 18% from a year ago. Each of these provinces saw lower year-over-year growth in September compared to August.

Hifyre IQ had forecast September sales at C$448.0 million based upon its data, so this was slightly below the estimate. The data analytics provider has been estimating October sales to be 0.9% higher, which would be 1.8% below the actual actual August level and up 15.8% from a year ago, based upon its data. Hifyre estimates sales outside of flower and pre-rolls at 29.4% in September and 30.1% in October.

The October sales data will be released on December 21st.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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