American Cannabis Operators Decline 5.8% in November

After getting off to a great start in its inaugural month, the American Cannabis Operator Index ended up declining 5.8% during November:

The early run-up in the month was likely tied to interest in the sector ahead of the elections, as the index rallied more than 24% in the first week of the month. A flood of new issues coming to market, including Acreage Holdings (CSE: ACRG) (OTC: ACRZF), DionyMed Holdings (CSE: DYME), Dixie Brands (CSE: DIXI), Green Growth Brands (CSE: GGB) (OTC: XTHCF), Grown Rogue (CSE: GRIN) (OTC: NVSIF), Harvest Health & Recreation (CSE: HARV) (OTC: HTHHF) and MJardin Group (CSE: MJAR) (OTC: MJARF), most likely weighed on prices over the balance of the month. Most of the companies reported robust quarterly sales growth during the month.

The inaugural index, which we detailed in early November, consisted of eighteen qualifying companies. Of these, 14 are multi-state operators (MSOs), while the remaining four are focused on selling CBD derived from industrial hemp. We note that some MSOs are also pursuing CBD brand strategies, including Curaleaf Holdings (CSE: CURA) (OTC: CURLF), Green Growth Brands and 1933 Industries (CSE: TGIF) (OTC: TGIFF). Despite the pressure on the sector, seven of the eighteen names were able to post gains during the month:

The best performances came from CBD manufacturers Elixinol Global (ASX: EXL) (OTC: ELLXF) and Charlotte’s Web Holdings (CSE: CWEB) (OTC: CWBHF) as investors contemplated the likelihood of the Farm Bill passing before year-end, with Liberty Health Sciences (CSE: LHS) and Trulieve (CSE: TRUL) (OTC: TCNNF) leading the MSOs. MedMen Enterprises (CSE: MMEN) (OTC: MMNFF), Terra Tech (OTC: TRTC), Curaleaf and Golden Leaf Holdings (CSE: GLH) (OTC: GLDFF), all of which filed quarterly financial reports during the month, each declined in excess of 20%. MedMen priced a bought deal but then lowered the offering price. Terra Tech and Golden Leaf announced a non-binding agreement to merge early in the month. Terra Tech reported a 33% decline in its cannabis revenue during the third quarter. When reporting its Q3 financials, Curaleaf offered guidance for 2019, suggesting it will generate revenue of $400 million, with free cash flow in excess of $100 million. The stock ended the month more than 38% below the C$11.45 where it raised C$520 million in advance of going public in October.

For December, the index will include 17 names, as 1933 Industries no longer qualified due to its trading volume in the United States declining below the minimum.  There are several names we expect will join in the near future, though they don’t yet have actual OTC listings (though some do have grey market tickers).

In the next monthly review, we will summarize the performance for December and discuss any additions or deletions. Be sure to bookmark the page to stay current on American cannabis operators stock price movements within the day or from day-to-day.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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