Financial Reports Highlight American Cannabis Industry Strength and CBD Weakness

The Public Cannabis Company Revenue & Income Tracker, managed by New Cannabis Ventures, ranks the top revenue producing cannabis stocks that generate industry sales of more than US$7.5 million per quarter (C$10.5 million). This data-driven, fact-based tracker will continually update based on new financial filings so that readers can stay up to date. Companies must file with the SEC or SEDAR to be considered for inclusion. Please note that we raised the minimum quarterly revenue in May 2019 from US$2.5 million and from US$5.0 million in October 2019.

46 companies currently qualify for inclusion, with 29 filing in U.S dollars and 17 in the Canadian currency, which is up from 45 when we reported at the end of February. Two Canadian licensed producers, Delta 9 Cannabis (TSX: DN) (OTC: VRNDF) and Radient Technologies (TSXV: RTI) (OTC: RDDTF), qualified for inclusion based on recent reports, while we have removed Origin House, which was acquired earlier this year by Cresco Labs.

In May 2019, we began to include an additional metric, “Adjusted Operating Income”, as we detailed in our newsletter. The calculation takes the reported operating income and adjusts it for any changes in the fair value of biological assets required under IFRS accounting. We believe that this adjustment improves comparability for the companies across IFRS and GAAP accounting. We note that often operating income can include one-time items like stock compensation, inventory write-downs or public listing expenses, and we recommend that readers understand how these non-cash items can impact quarterly financials. Many companies are moving from IFRS to U.S. GAAP accounting, which will reduce our need to make adjustments.

One trend we have observed is that many of the companies are now providing pro forma revenue as well, which is an attempt to more accurately portray the operations by taking into account the results of closed and pending acquisitions as the multi-state operator (MSO) space rapidly consolidates. Our rankings include only actual reported revenue.

For companies that report in U.S. dollars, Charlotte’s Web (TSX: CWEB) (OTC: CWBHF), Columbia Care (NEO: CCHW) (OTC: CCHWF), Curaleaf Holdings (CSE: CURA) (OTC: CURLF), CV Sciences (OTC: CVSI), Green Thumb Industries (CSE: GTII) (OTC: GTBIF), GrowGeneration (NASDAQ: GRWG) and Tilray (NASDAQ: TLRY) have reported in the first four weeks of March. The U.S. cannabis operators have shown solid growth in revenue, while the CBD companies have seen sales decline sharply from Q3.

GTI, perhaps just temporarily, took the lead among MSOs in terms of revenue, with its Q4 revenue growing 12% from Q3 and 265% from a year ago to $75.8 million. It provided guidance that revenue in Q1 will be in a range of $91-95 million, up 20-25% from Q4. Curaleaf grew revenue in Q4 by 22% to $75.5 million, while Columbia Care experienced sequential growth of 5%. Curaleaf expects is managed revenue to grow from $81.7 million to at least $100 million.

In line with the top-line growth among MSOs, GrowGeneration experienced 17% sequential growth to $25.4 million and provided 2020 guidance of $130-135 million, including projected Q1 revenue of $32 million, 144% above year-ago revenue.

In contrast to the growth by the state-regulated cannabis operators, CV Sciences saw revenue decline 25% in Q4 from Q3 and by 34% from a year ago. It also projected further declines in Q1 to $6-8 million. Charlotte’s Web experienced a sequential decline of 9%, with its $22.8 million Q4 revenue growing 6% from a year ago. It provided guidance for 2020 revenue growth of 10-20%, with Q1 revenue expected to be approximately $20 million. Both companies cited intense competition in the natural health channel as well as delays by the FDA regarding regulation for ingestibles as contributing factors to the near-term weakness.

Finally, Canadian LP Tilray saw revenue decline sequentially in its Q4 by 20%.

American Dollar Reporting – Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker

Village Farms (TSX: VFF) (NASDAQ: VFF) will report its Q4 on March 30th, while Marimed (OTC: MRMD), which is taking a large write-down, expects to report its Q4 on March 31st, and it will be removed due to its no longer qualifying based on its pre-announcement that suggested revenue will be less than $6 million. During April, we expect reports from a substantial number of companies, though only Harvest Health (CSE: HARV) (OTC: HRVSF) and iAnthus (CSE: IAN) (OTC: ITHUF) have announced dates.

Harvest is expected, according to Sentieo, to have generated Q4 revenue of $41.1 million, representing 24% growth from Q3. iAnthus is expected to have seen Q4 revenue expand by 26% to $28.1 million compared to Q3.

Two of the larger MSOs that haven’t yet announced dates for their Q4 conference calls are Trulieve (CSE: TRUL) (OTC: TCNNF) and Cresco Labs (CSE: CL) (OTC: CRLBF). Trulieve could regain its leadership position among MSOs, as it is expected to have generated $78.4 million in revenue, up 11% from Q3, while Cresco Labs is expected to grow revenue sequentially by 25% to $45.3 million.

KushCo Holdings (OTC: KSHB) pre-announced Q2 revenue at approximately $30 million, representing a decline of 14% from Q1.

Of the companies that report in Canadian dollars, LPs Delta 9 and Radient Technologies and retailer Alcanna (TSX: CLIQ) (OTC: LQSIF) reported in the first four weeks of March. Delta 9’s revenue grew 59% in Q4 compared to Q3, driven by sales of grow pods and other B2B offerings, which accounted for 36% of overall revenue. All of the revenue for Radient Technologies was generated through a single customer, presumably Aurora Cannabis (TSX: ACB) (NYSE: ACB). The vast majority of revenue at Alcanna is generated through its alcohol stores, but its cannabis operations generated C$13 million, similar to Q3.

Canadian Dollar Reporting – Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker

Over the balance of March and through April, we will receive financial updates from LPs Medipharm Labs (TSX: LABS) (OTC: MEDIF), Sundial Growers (NASDAQ: SNDL), Cronos Group (TSX: CRON) (NASDAQ: CRON) and HEXO Corp (TSX: HEXO) (NYSE: HEXO) and retailer High Tide (CSE: HITI) (OTC: HITIF) this week and LPs Aphria (TSX: APHA) (NYSE: APHA), Organigram (TSX: OGI) (NASDAQ: OGI) and TerrAscend (CSE: TER) (OTC: TRSSF) in mid-April. Retailers Fire & Flower (TSX: FAF) (OTC: FFLWF) and Meta Growth (TSXV: META) (OTC: NACNF) and LP Valens Company (TSXV: VLNS) (OTC: VLNCF) are expected to report by the end of April.

MediPharm Labs, which reports on March 30th, is expected to see Q4 revenue decline by almost 10% from Q3, according to Sentieo’s analyst consensus, which is at C$39.3 million. The company began generating revenue in 2019. Sundial Growers reports on the 30th and will host a call on the 31st. The company, which has delayed its report in order to complete modifications to its credit agreements, is also expected to have experienced a decline in Q4 revenue from C$33.5 to C$31.6 million. It generated $28 million from its cannabis operations in Q3, with the balance from ornamental flowers. HEXO Corp will report on the 30th, which is after the filing deadline. The company announced in mid-March that its Q2 net revenue grew sequentially by 17% to C$17 million. It also indicated that it expects to take an impairment charge of up to C$280 million. Cronos Group had previously scheduled its call for late February but delayed for unstated reasons. As an accelerated filer, it was required to file by March 2nd but took an extension of 15 days. It later revealed that it was restating its prior financials and hopes to have its Q4 audited financials available by the 30th, but it indicated that the timeline might not be met due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysts expect the company to have generated C$16.2 million during Q4. Cronos Group had previously reported C$14.6 million revenue for Q3, but it has indicated that it will be restated to C$9.5 million. High Tide will be reporting financials for its Q1.

TerrAscend will be reporting its Q4 financials on April 15th, with analysts projecting revenue of C$40 million, up 49% from Q3, according to Sentieo. Aphria and Organigram will be providing quarterly financials. Neither company has yet announced the date, but they are due by April 14th. Aphria, which generates the majority of its revenue from non-cannabis operations, is expected to have Q3 revenue $130 million, which would represent growth of 8% over Q2. The company provided annual guidance for the fiscal year of net revenue of C$575-625 million with adjusted EBITDA of C$35-42 million in January, having reported year-to-date revenue of C$247 million and adjusted EBITDA of C$2.9 million. Organigram is projected to increase revenue by 9% to C$27.4 million in its Q2 compared to its Q1, up slightly from year-ago revenue.

Fire & Flower will be reporting its fiscal year-end, while Meta Growth and Valens will be providing quarter-end financials.

Visit the Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker to track and explore the complete list of qualifying companies. We have recently created a way for our readers to access our library of Revenue Tracker articles. For our readers who are interested in staying on top of scheduled earnings calls in the sector, we have have created and continually update the Cannabis Investor Earnings Conference Call Calendar. Finally, for many of these companies, we publish comprehensive earnings previews for subscribers at 420 Investor.

Get ahead of the crowd by signing up for 420 Investor, the largest & most comprehensive premium subscription service for cannabis traders and investors since 2013.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online communities 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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