The Largest American Cannabis Operators Fared Best in Challenging Q3 Earnings Season

The Public Cannabis Company Revenue & Income Tracker, managed by New Cannabis Ventures, ranks the top revenue producing cannabis companies. This data-driven, fact-based tracker will continually update based on new financial filings so that readers can stay up to date. Companies must file with the SEC or SEDAR and be current to be considered for inclusion.

When we launched this resource in May 2019, companies with quarterly revenue in excess of US$2.5 million qualified. As the industry has scaled and as more companies have gone public, we have raised the minimum several times subsequently, including a move to US$5 million in October 2019, to US$7.5 million in June 2020, to US$10 million in November 2020 and US$12.5 million in August 2021.

Due to the rapid growth in the cannabis industry, we raised the minimum to US$25 million (C$32 million) to qualify for what we are now calling the senior list and introduced a junior list with a minimum of US$12.5 million (C$16.0 million) in September. At the time of our last update in late October, 36 companies qualified for inclusion on the senior list, including 31 filing in U.S. dollars and 5 in the Canadian currency. We have removed Harvest Health & Recreation and KushCo Holdings subsequently following their acquisitions, have moved Village Farms (TSX: VFF) (NASDAQ: VFF) up and have added Nova Cannabis (TSX: NOVC) (OTC: NVACF), previously on the Canadian junior list, leaving the senior list membership at 36, including 30 that report in American dollars and 6 that report in Canadian dollars. The junior list now includes 13 reporting in U.S. dollars, with the addition of Unrivaled Brands (OTC: UNRV) and iPower (NASDAQ: IPW) and 4 in Canadian dollars, with the removal of Delta 9 Cannabis (TSX: DN) (OTC: DLTNF). On a combined basis, the Public Cannabis Company Revenue & Income Tracker includes 53 companies. We expect to add additional companies in the months ahead, and, due to pending or recently completed mergers, we anticipate some removals as well. We note that Intercure (TASE: INCR) (NASDAQ: INCR), which reports in the Israeli currency, qualifies for the junior list, but we haven’t yet added it due to its different reporting currency.

In May 2019, we added an additional metric, “Adjusted Operating Income”, as we detailed in our newsletter. The calculation takes the reported operating income and adjusts it for any changes in the fair value of biological assets required under IFRS accounting. We believe that this adjustment improves comparability for the companies across IFRS and GAAP accounting. We note that often operating income can include one-time items like stock compensation, inventory write-downs or public listing expenses, and we recommend that readers understand how these non-cash items can impact quarterly financials. Many companies are moving from IFRS to U.S. GAAP accounting, which will reduce our need to make adjustments. Please note that our rankings include only actual reported revenue and not pro forma revenue. We also note that companies with non-cannabis operations must provide segment-level financial reports that detail not only revenue but also operating profit to be have their operating profit included in the tracker. Currently, Jazz Pharma (NASDAQ: JAZZ) and Tilray (TSX: TLRY) (NASDAQ: TLRY) aren’t providing this information.

Since our last update, the vast majority of companies included in the tracker have reported. The very largest cannabis operators were roughly in line with expectations with modest sequential growth. Curaleaf (CSE: CURA) (OTC: CURLF) among the five largest MSOs, was the only one to suffer an erosion in profitability and to miss expectations substantially. Beneath the largest MSOs, several others fell a bit short of expectations but still experienced sequential growth for the most part. The outlooks for several of these stocks were reduced. Some of the big themes of the quarter included extreme weakness in California as well as competition heating up in Florida and Pennsylvania. Additionally, regulatory delays in New Jersey are weighing on several companies, with the state still not having set a start date for adult-use sales. The largest ancillary names struggled during Q3, with Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE: SMG), Hydrofarm (NASDAQ: HYFM) and GrowGeneration (NASDAQ: GRWG) all suffering sequential declines in revenue. The weakness in California, especially, as well as delays in new markets opening weighed on the near-term results and diminished outlooks.

American Dollar Reporting – Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker

While most of the companies have reported, a few will be reporting in the days ahead. On the junior list, Cronos Group (TSX: CRON) (NASDAQ: CRON) remains delinquent, while Cansortium (CSE: TIUM.U) (OTC: CNTMF), Flower One Holdings (CSE: FONE) (OTC: FLOOF), Harborside (CSE: HBOR) (OTC: HBORF) and Hollister Biosciences (CSE: HOLL) (OTC: HSTRF) will be reporting imminently. There are no other members of the tracker that report in American dollars expected to report until January.

During November,  Canopy Growth (TSX: WEED) (NASDAQ: CGC) and Aurora Cannabis (TSX: ACB) (NASDAQ: ACB) as well as retailer Nova Cannabis reported from the senior list, while Organigram (TSX: OGI) (NASDAQ: OGI), Auxly Cannabis (TSX: XLY) (OTC: CBWTF) and newly public Humble & Fume (CSE: HMBL) (OTC: HUMBF) provided financials from the junior list. Canopy Growth missed analyst expectations for its fiscal Q2 as revenue fell from the prior quarter and a year ago despite the addition of revenue from recently acquired Supreme Cannabis. The company pushed out its forecast of when it will become profitable as measured by adjusted EBITDA. Aurora Cannabis fiscal Q1 revenue also declined from a year ago but only modestly missed expectations.

Canadian Dollar Reporting – Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker

During December, two senior list companies will report financials, including retailer and data analytics company Fire & Flower (TSX: FAF) (OTC: FFLWF) and licensed producer HEXO Corp (TSX: HEXO) (NASDAQ: HEXO). According to Sentieo, Fire & Flower is expected to see modest sequential growth in its fiscal Q3, while HEXO, which recently closed the acquisition of Redecan, is expected to have generated revenue of C$52 million in its fiscal Q1, up 77% from a year ago, with adjusted EBITDA of -C$6 million.

For those interested in more information about companies reporting in November, we publish comprehensive earnings previews for subscribers at 420 Investor, including for Focus List members mentioned here, Cronos Group, Fire & Flower and Harborside.

Visit the Public Cannabis Company Revenue Tracker to track and explore the complete list of qualifying companies. We have recently created a way for our readers to access our library of Revenue Tracker articles. For our readers who are interested in staying on top of scheduled earnings calls in the sector, we have have created and continually update the Cannabis Investor Earnings Conference Call Calendar.

Get ahead of the crowd by signing up for 420 Investor, the largest & most comprehensive premium subscription service for cannabis traders and investors since 2013.

Exclusive article by Alan Brochstein, CFA
Alan Brochstein, CFA
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as founder of online community 420 Investor, the first and still largest due diligence platform focused on the publicly-traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. At New Cannabis Ventures, he is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before shifting his focus to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst following over two decades in research and portfolio management. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 at Seeking Alpha, where he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and a frequent source to the media, including the NY Times, the Wall Street Journal, Fox Business, and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan: Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn | Email

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